Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Tierney 49.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 64.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Cizikas
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Cizikas
Tierney
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Cizikas
Tierney
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
8
Cizikas
Tierney
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
10
Cizikas
Tierney
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
49.3% (5,342)
+4.1%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
52.3% (342)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
46.6% (857)
-2.2%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tierney
Home
53.7% (5,498)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Cizikas
Tierney
P1
53.0%
49.3%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
51.7%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |