Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Tierney 49.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 78.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 61.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Cizikas
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Cizikas
Tierney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
50.4% (454)
+7.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
48.3% (58)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
36.8% (19)
+8.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tierney
Home
56.6% (484)
53.3% (289)
Away
54.5% (477)
45.5% (242)
By Period
Cizikas
Tierney
P1
57.2%
50.9%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
54.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |