Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Tierney 54.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 69.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Cizikas
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
57.0% (179)
-3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
64.3% (14)
-12.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tierney
Home
58.6% (307)
62.3% (77)
Away
48.7% (339)
53.8% (117)
By Period
Cizikas
Tierney
P1
56.7%
61.1%
P2
49.8%
60.0%
P3
53.8%
49.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |