Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Ryan 55.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 68.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Cizikas
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cizikas
Ryan
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Cizikas
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Cizikas
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
56.5% (816)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
55.2% (105)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
63.2% (19)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Cizikas is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Ryan
Home
55.1% (448)
56.7% (466)
Away
51.0% (443)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Cizikas
Ryan
P1
51.7%
55.4%
P2
53.1%
58.1%
P3
54.5%
55.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |