Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Ryan 57.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 60.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Cizikas
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Cizikas
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Cizikas
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Cizikas
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
61.4% (220)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
51.7% (29)
-18.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Ryan
Home
55.4% (303)
64.2% (137)
Away
54.9% (308)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Cizikas
Ryan
P1
53.0%
58.9%
P2
56.0%
62.8%
P3
56.2%
59.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |