Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Ryan 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Cizikas
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
22
(32 meetings)
10
22
Cizikas
Ryan
Last 10: Cizikas 1-9 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
9
Cizikas
Ryan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
5
Cizikas
Ryan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
8
Cizikas
Ryan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
56.6% (4,102)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
53.2% (342)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
47.8% (649)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Ryan
Home
53.7% (5,498)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Cizikas
Ryan
P1
53.0%
55.1%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
51.7%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |