Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Stepan 44.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 78.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 93.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 90.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Cizikas
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Stepan
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
43.5% (942)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
48.1% (162)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
43.0% (128)
+6.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cizikas is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Cizikas shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stepan
Home
56.5% (446)
45.6% (629)
Away
47.4% (409)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Cizikas
Stepan
P1
57.0%
44.7%
P2
51.0%
43.7%
P3
48.7%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |