Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.3%). Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Stepan 53.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 66.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Cizikas
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cizikas
Stepan
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
55.3% (358)
+1.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
0.0% (3)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
50.8% (61)
-10.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stepan
Home
55.0% (473)
57.7% (213)
Away
51.7% (466)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Cizikas
Stepan
P1
54.9%
56.3%
P2
50.8%
48.9%
P3
54.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |