Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 55.9%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Stepan 54.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 64.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Cizikas
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cizikas
Stepan
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
3
Cizikas
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
54.5% (374)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
64.7% (68)
-19.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stepan
Home
56.6% (484)
54.5% (222)
Away
54.5% (477)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Cizikas
Stepan
P1
57.2%
57.5%
P2
54.7%
54.7%
P3
54.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |