Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 31-11 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 88.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 99.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 98.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 97.1%
97.1%
2.9%
Cizikas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
11
(42 meetings)
31
11
Cizikas
Hughes
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
4
Cizikas
Hughes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
10
3
Cizikas
Hughes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
18
4
Cizikas
Hughes
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
36.0% (2,887)
+17.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
38.8% (224)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
31.0% (42)
+13.4%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hughes
Home
53.7% (5,498)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Cizikas
Hughes
P1
53.0%
36.9%
P2
51.1%
33.6%
P3
51.7%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |