Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Hughes 37.9% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 73.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 94.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Cizikas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Cizikas
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
34.9% (444)
+21.5%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
50.0% (14)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
33.3% (6)
+7.3%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hughes
Home
55.0% (473)
37.4% (235)
Away
51.7% (466)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Cizikas
Hughes
P1
54.9%
37.1%
P2
50.8%
33.7%
P3
54.5%
34.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |