Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Hughes 38.0% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 90.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Cizikas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Cizikas
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
34.5% (342)
+23.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
42.9% (7)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
25.0% (4)
+19.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hughes
Home
56.6% (484)
32.6% (187)
Away
54.5% (477)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Cizikas
Hughes
P1
57.2%
33.9%
P2
54.7%
34.2%
P3
54.8%
36.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |