Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 61.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Cizikas
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
28
(44 meetings)
16
28
Cizikas
Carter
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
13
Cizikas
Carter
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
7
Cizikas
Carter
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
8
Cizikas
Carter
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
53.3% (8,728)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carter
Home
53.7% (5,498)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Cizikas
Carter
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
51.7%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |