Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Carter 60.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 59.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Cizikas
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Cizikas
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
65.6% (262)
-11.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
68.3% (63)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
50.5% (99)
+1.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carter
Home
58.6% (307)
64.3% (207)
Away
48.7% (339)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Cizikas
Carter
P1
56.7%
65.3%
P2
49.8%
60.1%
P3
53.8%
63.8%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |