Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 66.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 67.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 66.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Cizikas
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Carter
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Cizikas
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Cizikas
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
59.7% (727)
-3.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
68.1% (72)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
53.2% (139)
-12.6%
On power play, Carter has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carter
Home
55.0% (473)
58.7% (455)
Away
51.7% (466)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Cizikas
Carter
P1
54.9%
61.3%
P2
50.8%
57.1%
P3
54.5%
59.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |