Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Skinner 43.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 59.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 97.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 86.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Cizikas
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Skinner
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
1
Cizikas
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Skinner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
37.5% (152)
+20.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
47.9% (71)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
0.0% (1)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Skinner
Home
56.6% (484)
41.5% (130)
Away
54.5% (477)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Cizikas
Skinner
P1
57.2%
32.9%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
54.8%
40.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |