Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Skinner 45.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 88.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.5%
Neutral zone
Skinner 57.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 88.0%
12.0%
88.0%
Cizikas
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
2
Cizikas
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
41.0% (105)
+12.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (18)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
0.0% (1)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Skinner
Home
58.6% (307)
43.8% (64)
Away
48.7% (339)
40.0% (60)
By Period
Cizikas
Skinner
P1
56.7%
38.6%
P2
49.8%
40.5%
P3
53.8%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |