Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 88.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 71.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 61.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Cizikas
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cizikas
Pavelski
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
0
Cizikas
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Cizikas
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
51.3% (643)
-0.6%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
58.1% (172)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
46.3% (41)
-3.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cizikas is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cizikas shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pavelski
Home
49.8% (486)
53.8% (431)
Away
49.4% (360)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Cizikas
Pavelski
P1
50.6%
48.4%
P2
46.0%
52.0%
P3
52.4%
55.6%
OT
45.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |