Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Cizikas
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
52.5% (570)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
54.5% (145)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
44.4% (36)
+0.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pavelski
Home
56.6% (484)
55.0% (391)
Away
54.5% (477)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Cizikas
Pavelski
P1
57.2%
50.8%
P2
54.7%
55.0%
P3
54.8%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |