Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 52.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cizikas
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cizikas
Pavelski
Last 7: Cizikas 3-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Cizikas
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Cizikas
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
51.5% (594)
+2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.7% (87)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
28.6% (14)
+23.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pavelski
Home
58.6% (307)
53.1% (339)
Away
48.7% (339)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Cizikas
Pavelski
P1
56.7%
53.8%
P2
49.8%
47.8%
P3
53.8%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |