Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Norris 51.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 86.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 61.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Cizikas
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cizikas
Norris
Last 8: Cizikas 5-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Cizikas
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
0
Cizikas
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cizikas
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
52.2% (542)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.4% (57)
+45.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
46.7% (30)
+5.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Norris
Home
58.6% (307)
50.7% (351)
Away
48.7% (339)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Cizikas
Norris
P1
56.7%
55.6%
P2
49.8%
49.3%
P3
53.8%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |