Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Norris 53.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 67.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 65.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Cizikas
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Norris
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
3
Cizikas
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cizikas
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cizikas
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
53.6% (560)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.0% (109)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
53.1% (98)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Norris
Home
55.4% (303)
53.6% (373)
Away
54.9% (308)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Cizikas
Norris
P1
53.0%
61.8%
P2
56.0%
51.7%
P3
56.2%
49.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Josh Norris |