Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 72.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 84.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Cizikas
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Jankowski
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.6% (126)
+6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
39.2% (51)
+5.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Jankowski
Home
56.6% (484)
45.3% (64)
Away
54.5% (477)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Cizikas
Jankowski
P1
57.2%
53.7%
P2
54.7%
45.8%
P3
54.8%
43.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |