Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 60.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Cizikas
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Cizikas
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
58.6% (273)
-2.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
66.7% (3)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
43.3% (67)
-2.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Jankowski
Home
55.0% (473)
54.7% (128)
Away
51.7% (466)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Cizikas
Jankowski
P1
54.9%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
56.5%
P3
54.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |