Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Cizikas
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
52.9% (870)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.5% (43)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
46.2% (143)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Home
55.4% (303)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.9% (308)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Cizikas
Zibanejad
P1
53.0%
57.5%
P2
56.0%
50.7%
P3
56.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |