Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 57.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Cizikas
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.4% (770)
+1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
46.2% (39)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.7% (141)
+2.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Home
53.3% (270)
49.0% (429)
Away
54.8% (299)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Cizikas
Zibanejad
P1
57.2%
53.0%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
49.5%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |