Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 88.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 85.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Last 7: Cizikas 6-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
48.9% (280)
+5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
47.2% (36)
+0.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
53.3% (270)
48.4% (190)
Away
54.8% (299)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
57.2%
41.7%
P2
56.3%
56.6%
P3
49.5%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |