Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 57.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 74.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
50.7% (906)
+3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.1% (108)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
44.4% (239)
+7.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
58.6% (307)
49.8% (643)
Away
48.7% (339)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
56.7%
49.4%
P2
49.8%
50.5%
P3
53.8%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |