Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 51.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
46.7% (398)
+9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.6% (31)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
62.5% (8)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
55.4% (303)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.9% (308)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
53.0%
46.1%
P2
56.0%
46.3%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |