Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.0% vs Foligno 48.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 77.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Cizikas
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Foligno
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Cizikas
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cizikas
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (750)
50.0% (152)
+0.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
41.2% (17)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (199)
0.0% (7)
+42.2%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cizikas is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Cizikas shoots left. Foligno is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Foligno
Home
48.1% (466)
48.1% (77)
Away
49.7% (493)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Cizikas
Foligno
P1
51.5%
43.1%
P2
46.5%
50.8%
P3
49.3%
48.9%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |