Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Foligno 52.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Cizikas
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cizikas
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
52.0% (50)
+4.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
66.7% (21)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
0.0% (1)
+40.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Foligno
Home
55.0% (473)
51.2% (41)
Away
51.7% (466)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Cizikas
Foligno
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
50.8%
48.0%
P3
54.5%
65.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |