Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Foligno 49.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 71.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 75.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Cizikas
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cizikas
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
49.0% (261)
+5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
57.1% (42)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
47.1% (51)
+0.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Foligno
Home
53.3% (270)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.8% (299)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Cizikas
Foligno
P1
57.2%
40.4%
P2
56.3%
55.8%
P3
49.5%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |