Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Poehling 47.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 85.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
49.8% (626)
+4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
38.2% (207)
+9.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
53.3% (270)
47.3% (404)
Away
54.8% (299)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
57.2%
53.5%
P2
56.3%
39.4%
P3
49.5%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |