Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Poehling 50.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 66.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cizikas
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Cizikas
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Cizikas
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Poehling
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
52.6% (622)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
39.8% (103)
-6.5%
On power play, Poehling has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
55.4% (303)
53.2% (393)
Away
54.9% (308)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
53.0%
50.9%
P2
56.0%
56.2%
P3
56.2%
46.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%