Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Poehling 49.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 81.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cizikas
Poehling
Last 8: Cizikas 5-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Cizikas
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
50.4% (752)
+3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
37.0% (27)
+63.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
45.3% (159)
+6.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
58.6% (307)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.7% (339)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
56.7%
54.6%
P2
49.8%
46.7%
P3
53.8%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |