Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Cizikas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Kuraly
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cizikas
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
51.8% (444)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
45.3% (150)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kuraly
Home
53.3% (270)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.8% (299)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Cizikas
Kuraly
P1
57.2%
55.2%
P2
56.3%
45.7%
P3
49.5%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |