Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 70.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Cizikas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cizikas
Kuraly
Last 7: Cizikas 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cizikas
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Cizikas
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.2% (901)
+7.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
68.2% (22)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
49.8% (219)
-9.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kuraly
Home
55.0% (473)
51.7% (603)
Away
51.7% (466)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Cizikas
Kuraly
P1
54.9%
50.9%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
54.5%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |