Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 73.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 77.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Cizikas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Kuraly
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Cizikas
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
49.4% (445)
+4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
41.9% (117)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kuraly
Home
58.6% (307)
49.2% (248)
Away
48.7% (339)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Cizikas
Kuraly
P1
56.7%
48.3%
P2
49.8%
44.7%
P3
53.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |