Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Zegras 35.4% (+23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 82.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
29.6% (230)
+24.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
32.1% (56)
+67.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
100.0% (1)
-52.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +67.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
53.3% (270)
30.6% (147)
Away
54.8% (299)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
57.2%
33.0%
P2
56.3%
31.7%
P3
49.5%
25.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |