Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.3% vs Zegras 40.4% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 83.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (392)
33.6% (143)
+20.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
39.0% (41)
+61.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
100.0% (1)
-56.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
50.5% (220)
31.6% (98)
Away
55.2% (210)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
56.3%
38.9%
P2
57.8%
38.0%
P3
44.8%
27.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
52.8%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |