Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 97.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 94.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Cizikas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
39.4% (510)
+18.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
47.1% (34)
+19.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
56.6% (484)
42.3% (272)
Away
54.5% (477)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
57.2%
37.6%
P2
54.7%
41.5%
P3
54.8%
40.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |