Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Zegras 39.2% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 77.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 96.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Zegras
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
38.6% (1,669)
+14.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
38.5% (148)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
28.6% (7)
+15.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
53.7% (5,498)
39.9% (882)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
53.0%
40.2%
P2
51.1%
38.0%
P3
51.7%
37.7%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |