Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Jost 42.2% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 55.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 53.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 62.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Cizikas
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Jost
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Cizikas
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Cizikas
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
40.8% (314)
+17.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
37.5% (8)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
39.4% (104)
+5.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Jost
Home
56.6% (484)
42.8% (264)
Away
54.5% (477)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Cizikas
Jost
P1
57.2%
37.4%
P2
54.7%
40.5%
P3
54.8%
43.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |