Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Jost 47.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 91.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 78.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Cizikas
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Cizikas
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
45.7% (116)
+10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Jost
Home
55.4% (303)
39.7% (68)
Away
54.9% (308)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Cizikas
Jost
P1
53.0%
40.5%
P2
56.0%
47.9%
P3
56.2%
47.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |