Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 93.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Mittelstadt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
44.7% (886)
+9.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
40.2% (112)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
40.0% (5)
+2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
53.0% (583)
46.0% (491)
Away
50.6% (605)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
52.1%
44.0%
P2
51.8%
46.4%
P3
52.3%
41.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |