Casey Mittelstadt vs David Gustafsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gustafsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gustafsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Gustafsson 51.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 85.6%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 63.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 67.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Last 9: Mittelstadt 3-6 Gustafsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
0
3
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
52.6% (623)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
44.4% (9)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
36.8% (57)
+0.7%
On even strength, Gustafsson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gustafsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
52.1% (363)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
50.3% (326)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
P1
46.8%
57.7%
P2
46.1%
45.8%
P3
44.0%
50.2%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |