Casey Mittelstadt vs David Gustafsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gustafsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Gustafsson 50.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 88.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 70.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Last 7: Mittelstadt 2-5 Gustafsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
0
2
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
51.7% (180)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (18)
+6.7%
On even strength, Gustafsson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gustafsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gustafsson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Home
46.0% (491)
52.9% (104)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.8% (94)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
P1
44.0%
57.1%
P2
46.4%
41.3%
P3
41.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |