Casey Mittelstadt vs David Gustafsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gustafsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Gustafsson 53.1% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.5%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 70.7%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 50.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
56.3% (174)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
40.0% (20)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gustafsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
Home
47.7% (583)
51.5% (103)
Away
46.4% (541)
58.2% (91)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gustafsson
P1
50.0%
60.0%
P2
46.2%
58.9%
P3
45.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |