Casey Mittelstadt vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Stepan 46.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
1
Mittelstadt
Stepan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
5
Mittelstadt
Stepan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
46.5% (10,204)
-1.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
48.8% (1,593)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
44.2% (1,368)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Home
46.7% (2,316)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stepan
P1
46.8%
47.5%
P2
46.1%
45.6%
P3
44.0%
46.8%
OT
36.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |