Casey Mittelstadt vs Derek Stepan
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Stepan 53.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 91.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 79.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Last 7: Mittelstadt 6-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
1
Mittelstadt
Stepan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
55.3% (358)
-10.0%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
0.0% (3)
+49.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
50.8% (61)
-10.2%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Home
45.1% (366)
57.7% (213)
Away
46.8% (370)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stepan
P1
41.1%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
45.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |