Casey Mittelstadt vs Derek Stepan
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Stepan 54.8% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 77.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Mittelstadt
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
54.5% (374)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
0.0% (2)
+47.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
64.7% (68)
-42.5%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stepan
Home
47.2% (193)
54.5% (222)
Away
42.9% (259)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stepan
P1
49.0%
57.5%
P2
45.7%
54.7%
P3
38.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |